Wednesday, August 17, 2011

New study shows the Earth is staying the same size

Or, .. Earth expansion gets a free kick
( Blog for website at http://users.indigo.net.au/don/ )



"..Since Charles Darwin's time, scientists have speculated that the solid Earth might be expanding or contracting. That was the prevailing belief, until scientists developed the theory of plate tectonics, which explained the large-scale motions of Earth's lithosphere, or outermostshell." http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/earth20110816.html



This article, published recently in Geophysical Research Letters, is rather interesting, not least for the tacit and calculated admission by Nasa that Earth expansion exists as something warranting speculation (much less that it is alive and well), but also for the opportunity to stress the essential difference between Earth expansion and Plate Tectonics, .. which is that (within the logical principles of structural and stratigraphic superposition on which geology is based) Earth expansion is tantamount to fact, where Plate Tectonics is merely its poor cousin - theory.

The difference between the two is apparent from the different approaches used to develop their respective positions - Plate Tectonics using geo-physics after the experimental / theoretical ways of the laboratory, and Earth expansion from geo-logic.

It would be nice to be able to say that Plate Tectonics is logical too, but it isn't, .. it's full of contradictions due to the way that it has developed according to the "American way" of doing science (Naomi Oreskes, 1999,  The rejection of Continental Drift - Theory and Method in American Earth Science, Oxford University Press.).   Oreskes' analysis of this, which appears to have been stimulated by her immediate post-graduate experience (quote1 here), is pretty good, but in weighing the various sociological factors underpinning the 'way', seems to me to carry an element of nationalistic apologia, stressing the historical emergence of democracy from the American crucible over the later emergence of naked economic power, .. implying that  'The American Way' is deeply rooted in the psyche of the American  pioneering  spirit where Jack is every bit as good as his Master, and that what he has to say is legitimised, .. forged even, ..on the anvil of the Principle of Multiple Working Hypotheses.  It seems a genuflection, rather than a dog-leg that might better be regarded as a diversion.

This principle says that provided the data are kept in mind all conjecture and speculation is relevant, and one idea (Jack's) is as good as another (his Master's). It doesn't matter if ideas are contradictory, the point is legitimacy, and since both ideas are 'of the data' then by definition they both have equal currency.  This Orwellian doublethink, where flights of outlandishly nutty and contradictory ideas can exist happily (and legitimately) side-by-side with ideas that might be judged to have more respectable sobriety is apparently characteristic of the democratic "American Way".  Well, .. why not?  Anybody can have an idea after all, and the more the better.  And who, after all is to say which one is better?  The duality here is reinforced by the implication that whilst the data is the anchor, by giving legitimacy to the *plethora* of ideas that may be tied to it, the very connection to the data is effectively severed, or at the very least severely weakened.  The ideas come to stand as representative of the data; the ideas *become* the data.

Earth expansion on the other hand stays refreshingly and wholly within the facts themselves.  Guided by the proper application of the dual principles of stratigraphic and structural superposition it brooks no contradictions.  It merely structures the data according to scale and time, and lets the data speak for itself.  It makes no theories, no speculations, no hypotheses.  It is axiomatically as tantamount-to-fact as geo-logic dictates it must be. It *is* the data from the beginning.  No 'becoming' needed.  It is as tantamount-to-factual as is the existence of the oceans, .. as is the difference in length between the spreading ridges and their initial lengths of breakthrough,  .. as are mountains carved by erosion from a peneplained surface, ..as is the gravitational collapse of fold belts and their riding out over the ocean floors .. as is the plethora of Earthquakes on the continents (and their paucity on the ocean floors), and as are the many more facts relating to the Earth's continental (and oceanic) surface. It is in need of no theory.  It is described simply by the proper layout of the facts in space and time.  It *is* the facts.

Why Plate Tectonics and Earth expansion are so much at odds can be substantially understood with reference to their sources of funding.  Geology remains essentially a university enterprise, funded by whatever instruments make it their business to be concerned with science education.  Geophysics on the other hand grew out of the massive military spending during the last war and later during the cold war and more recently the space race.   Its concern with education is no more than a publicity stunt, a "sop to the barking public dog".  If it were otherwise, it would explore the obvious option of Earth expansion advanced by the logic of the above-said geo-principles, rather than trying to debunk it and shore up what is obviously a derelict, sinking ship. But it won't (explore).  Securing funds for the 'American Way' is the pre-eminent purpose, not addressing the contention between the two, .. and the above-linked article is a PR stunt to that end.

So let's look at this PR stunt :-

Two decades of black-box observations asserting that the Earth is not getting bigger is pitched against two to three hundred million years of geological evidence that says it is.  This assertion-against-evidence is based on the unstated assumption that geological process is uniformly continuous when it isn't; history tells us that geological processes are far from linear and continuous.  On this ground alone the value of 'measurement' is negated.  Why would anyone with a smidgin of geological nouce seriously suggest that two decades of measurements mean anything against two-to-three hundred million years of geological evidence to the contrary?  Even if measurements did show the Earth to be getting bigger, how long, say, would anyone suggest we wait to be sure things are not going to go into reverse?  One look at erosion profiles is enough to tell us of the long periods of quiescence (and the rapid resumption - and reversals) of land movements.  It's what crustal adjusment to geological process is all about.

Also the crust skates on the mantle, evidenced by the commonly discordant structural relations between the two (Plate Tectonics says that the continents are fixed to the mantle but the reality is otherwise.)  On this ground too, measurement is invalidated.  The pattern of movement in the time - series data is certainly interesting support for changes in orientation of the crust with respect to Earth's rotation, but this is a different thing from growth, and far more detail would be required anyway before such a conclusion could legitimately be drawn. ( The Earth's rotation is simply ignored in Plate Tectonics, despite it being responsible for the first-order deformation of the planet - its oblateness.)

That's as regards 'measurement'.  Here are some geological aspects that 'measurement' ignores (which it shouldn't).

1. "Sea-floor spreading" (*is* Earth expansion by another word).
2. "Subduction" (is overriding, which marks the 'curvature correction of the continental crust, seen in the circumglobal fold belt as gravitational collapse all the way from the Alps to the Pacific.)
3.  Geology tells us that earthquakes belong to the continental side of the subduction zone, .. the oceanic side is by comparison seismically dead, .. and compared to the continents probably always has been.)  In other words, moving sea floors is just bosh.  As the plethora of earthquakes tell us, it's the continental crust that's doing the moving, not the ocean floors.
4. "Transform faults" are characterised by very large vertical displacements and commonly graben structures defining the ridge offsets, .. and as well, physically deform the ridges.  They are categorically *NOT* structures that existed prior to continental separation as necessitated by Plate Tectonics.
5.  "Spreading ridges" are longer than their initial extents of breakthrough, which can only happen as the ridges move up.  (a global-scale, two-hundred million year geological measurement so obvious that all black box contradiction can be chucked down the nearest subduction zone, .. and which is, of course, indicative of expansion.)
6.  Mountains built by crustal crumpling due to plate collision (a central plank of Plate Tectonics) is simply inadmissible since it ignores the peneplanation that precedes incision.

The Chinese authorship (Xiaoping Wu) is interesting, given that Earth expansion is alive and well on the other side of the Great Wall.  It does seem odd that Nasa would go to the bother of refuting Earth expansion this side of the wall, since popular consensus considers it dead anyway, so possibly the article is intended for Chinese consumption, given Google's excursion in that direction.  Let's see what happens when China puts up some gravity-measuring ballistics satellites of its own, instead of our
lot, which we're told are so that we know when to hang the washing out (since we're talking about wool-pulling over the eyes of the barking public looking for value for money). 

".. So why should we care if Mother Nature is growing? < ... > Scientists care because, to put movements of Earth's crust into proper context, they need a frame of reference to evaluate them against. Any significant change in Earth's radius will alter our understanding of our planet's physical processes and is fundamental to the branch of science called geodesy, which seeks to measure Earth's shape and gravity field, and how they change over time.http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/08/110817120527.htm

But if Nasa is considering some sort of resurrection of Earth expansion to justify Plate Tectonics, then refutation by two decades of arithmetic is no way to dispute the geological facts of more than twenty or thirty million of them, especially in the face of the geological deficits cited above.

Sorry guys.  Won't wash.  Far from putting to rest any speculation of Earth expansion, by mentioning it, you have simply given it legitimacy.  Thanks. 

Big Hand for NASA please (capital enterprise).  But seriously.  Earth exapansion speaks for a potential forward leap in physics that's probably the biggest yet, and most are afraid to face.  But the geological support is there.   In its understanding of energy conversion physics has already gone half-way. But only half way.  Let's see it go the other half. 

The evidence?  (You're standing on it, and washing with it, building your houses with it, and eating your weeties with it.)    What's hard about it?

Come on, ..  get a move on!

[ See also - Debunking Plate Tectonics - at :-
http://www.platetectonicsbiglie.blogspot.com/ ]

13 comments:

  1. I agree that "Xiao Ping Wu" is a very interresting reference in this manner. I think it is pretty "mean" by NASA to put his name there. Since, in future as plasma technology and knowledge increases, eventually earth expansion will be acknowledged. In my view, they are actually "discrediting" the Chinese, by having this man put his name there. Political tactic, and pretty mean.

    However, did you notice, that NASA said it was growing NO MORE than 0.1 millimeter per year. That is an acknowledgment of a growth of about 8% as someone pointed out, in another forum.

    Insignificant? I think NASA did a serious Faux Pass ... and I really think that within near future, NASA will be outsourced to China. They are shooting themselves in the foot.

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  2. :-)) Root'n toot'n - foot-shooting is a favoured past-time of Plate Tectonics, given its predilection for the Principle of Multiple Working Hypotheses (where one bit of rubbish gladhands the other). Outsourcing to China though? Hmm, .. Gravity satellites and geodesy. It's really all about ballistics. Maybe somebody should tell them about all the steel we're supplying them with from here downunder.. But Good Lord, .. If they're measuring Earth *shape*, .. and referencing it back to a *centre*. What kind of centre? Shape centre or gravity centre (?) ..and is that the barycentre that includes the Moon? And does this precess with respect to the sun? Or does the shape centre change with the weather? I know somebody has an idea that strong atmospheric pressure can push things around.

    Tell you what, .. there are some real clever guys when it comes to numbers. Not too hot on the logic that fronts them though, if the geo is anything to go by. The more hothead numerical they like to show off as, the less cooly philosophical they seem to be.

    We don't know what moved Mr Wu to do the arithmetic. My guess is (if he has a foot in China as well as Nasa) that's it's the same as mentioned in that Chinese connection (link above - Shen-Su Sun ). There does seem to be something going on there we don't know about. I found it very interesting that Dick Armstrong's Big Sledge of Sam Carey (Earth expansion), that acknowledged Carey as the driving force behind the emergence of Plate Tectonics,
    http://platetectonicsbiglie.blogspot.com/2011/01/plate-tectonic-cowboys-go-to-hollywood.html
    ("..scroll down to "Carey and I met 30 years ago..")
    only exists on the web on a Chinese website.
    http://www.geochina.org/forum/ShowAnnounce.asp?boardID=1&RootID=6&ID=6&skin=0
    I find that very telling, .. that none of the current mob of Plate Tectonicists seem willing to acknowledge Carey's role there, as a preface to moving on to bigger things. (Frankly, I don't think they even know.)

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  4. I was reading an article about plate tectonics and expanding earth, and came across the information that paleomagnetic data revised plate tectonics.

    Point being, paleomagnetic data is plate tectonics achiles heel. It should be acquired, taken out and scrutinised.

    It is clamed, that paleomagnetic data was used to calculate the earths radius. It is also stated, that the modern technology only has the ability to measure up to 0,2 mm/year. Literally invalidating the current output of NASA. With such inaccurate measurement tools, you could not make any measurements, in the centimeter scale, let alone the millimeter scale.

    I seriously suggest, this paleomagnetic data be pulled out of the hat, and scrutinised utterly.

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  5. I quite agree. To me, palaeomagnetics is working well within the noise rather than the signal, and is another example of quantitative methods in a subject that does not readily lend itself to it, beginning just with the problem of getting a reliably oriented sample to make a measurement on. Amongst all the noise of crustal adjustments at different scales, it's hard enough extrapolating meaning from outcrop to local scales, much less to global scales. Ok if it's just reversals, I guess, .. but it's a typical example of how geophysics goes about it, .. have an idea, and see if something can be measured that confirms it (I can't think of anything where they go out of their way to try to disprove it). The wiggle-room gets very large. Anyone mapping quickly realises the discrepancy between even
    simple outcrop indications of a unit like dip and strike, compared with how it maps out, or intersects in a drill hole (or should, as they gradually realise the importance of surficial creep, even at larger scales we call 'faulting'). Rely on the larger scale - every time. Measure as much as we like - but it's the map does the talking. It's only hubris that puts its painfully, carefully measured 'data' over what the map is telling them, when there is a discrepancy. But it's a very common phenomenon. It all comes back to a question of hierarchy of scale of data. Anybody noticed how small people are compared to the scale of how the planet is adjusting to the forces of gravity and rotation? And how huge we are compared to the quantum scale of the question of "extra mass". Not easy getting a feel for the scale when we need to take a back seat and let the data speak for itself.

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  6. What a strange rant. Some basic errors include: Xiaoping Wu is employed by NASA Jet Propulsion Labs, he's not 'Chinese'; you make the classic "it's just a theory" mistake; your dismissal of 'multiple working hypotheses'; assertions about geological and geophysical data being incompatible with Plate Tectonics when in fact it's those observations that led to the theory in the first place (notwithstanding your revision of history).

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  7. Strange rant? I thought it was ok. There's plenty to rant about when it comes to Plate Tectonics., .. especially considering all the sledging Plate Tectonics does when it comes to Earth expansion. )

    And Xiaoping Wu sounds like a very good Chinese name if you ask me, and I'll bet if you ask him, he'd be *proud* of his Chinese parentage. In fact, I reckon his article puts him in the same league as Confucius.
    Xiaoping, .. he say, "Spen' Big Nasa Dolla',
    ..show Earth stay same size .
    Maybe Nasa get Dubble-Dolla'.
    Make no mistake, it's all about funding, and getting it - or the need for some and justifying it - like the Global Warmings 'scientists-with-arithmetic' are putting around. Even NASA needs funding.

    *I* make the classic "It's just a theory" mistake? I don't think so. Google 'em up:-
    "Plate tectonics is a theory" returns 15,400 entries
    "Earth expansion is a theory" gets you six.
    "Earth expansion is a fact" gets you 5,260
    "Earth expansion is a theory" gets you another six
    I think Plate Tectonics has it for the theory.

    "Multiple working hypotheses" *should* be dismissed. Two Wongs don't make a Wite.

    Plate Tectonics is *all* about geophysical data of the ocean floors. And those who formulated it drew a line at the continental margins. No geology of the continents. None asked for, .. none included. It's only some geologists hanging off the back of the wagon tried to extrapolate to the continents, notably in the formation of mountain belts, .. and made a hash of it.

    *My* revision of history? Nope. I let the players speak for themselves. And I think so far as they went they did a bloody good job, considering it was all at sea. Not even any satellites. Just flat maps, and flat maps are a bugger to work with when it comes to the global scale. You can hide just about anything in them. (They did a real hatchet job on Bruce Heezen though... That was rough.)

    Anyway (since you're mentioning names), ..what sort of a name is Ginckgo? (It's not Chinese). I google it up and get trees, but the wiki tells me it's a living fossil without the c-change. Or are you being anonymous, maybe. If so you're risking being edited off. Summarily. (Tell the forest.)

    However, if you have something constructive to say about either Plate Tectonics or Earth expansion, we'll all be very pleased to hear it. Stick around.

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  8. You do understand the difference between the colloquial use of the term 'theory', and as 'scientific theory'; the latter is in fact more powerful than 'facts' (or data), as it explains the facts. A scientific theory can accommodate ALL the facts, and any facts it can not yet fully explain at least do not contradict it.

    A hypothesis is like a juvenile form of a theory, which hasn't yet been fully tested. Therefore it is possible to have multiple hypotheses being tested at the same time, only one (or none) of which will eventually turn out to be the best explanation of the observations, and thus becomes a theory.

    The NASA measurements and calculations that indicate no change in earth's radius are simply one of numerous independent lines of evidence that plate tectonics is a valid theory. Other independent evidence comes from geological observations such as as ancient cross-continental mountain chains, stratigraphic correlations, fossils distributions, changing palaeomagnetic orientations, etc that all coincide (again: independently) on the interpretation of continental drift with multiple supercontinent cycles, driven by plate tectonic on a constant sized earth. And then there's the current observations of the pattern of tensional and compressional stresses on the continents that support PT. Plus we can literally 'see' the subduction plates using the depth and distribution of earthquakes. And so on.

    All of these data conflict to varying degrees with an expanding earth, which also has no reasonable explanation about how the volume of the earth is increasing significantly enough without violating most of physics.

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  9. Yes, .. I do. But this is where we differ, and where geology differs from other areas of science which lend themselves well to the sort of theorising / hypothesises / conceptualising / surmising / and testing to substantiate them.

    Synthesis, which geology exemplifies, is not really science. Science is reductive and anatomical. Synthesis is metaphysical. The scale and time involved makes Earth science different from other sciences (such as biology and chemistry)

    If we sit on a bench at the sea-side and watch the sun go down, .. and wondered which it was, ..the sun going down? or the horizon rising? Both would be in the realm of conjecture or hypothesis, and we might wonder where to start looking to resolve the question.

    Now say we had access to Ginckgo's Almanac, discovered in a cave somewhere, but worked out by the ancients , who deemed that the sky was a big place and the Sun was a big ball in it and so was the Earth, and that the Earth went around the Sun once every time it got dark for the longest time (or light for the shortest time) (or vice versa) and that 365 or so times in between it got repeatedly light and dark (well, youo know what I mean). But if you didn't know that, we'd be arguing for a very long time.

    But that information didn't arise by anatomica dissection of the sun or the horizon. It came from other areas of awareness completely (at a larger scale). So the picture we have today came from 'arranging the facts' above the plimsol line of immediate knowledge of the thing in question, .. not dissecting them with a scalpel (the elements of the Sun or the Horizon). In other words, it was integrative and 'metaphysical', not reductive and 'scientific'.

    In other words, the more facts you have at your disposal, the less need there is for speculation or hypothesising or theorising. What's needed though is the cognitive facility to connect them, and you don't do that by analysing the things themselves. It's a different level of cognition. Put the facts in the right place and the right order and the situation speaks for itself. It what Judges try to do all the time (even if they often don't succeed - because half the lawyers are actively trying to put them in the wrong place).

    (Too much for Blogpost, .. continued on part 2)

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  10. (Too much for Blogpost, .. continued on part 2)

    See, .. science is a much misused word, especially these days when it gets so confused with technology (labs, microscopes and all the other gee-whizz machinery that helps us look more closely at the facts. Also whenever quantification comes into the picture, and there are questions to resolve about how to frame the parameters, they are *ALWAYS* about scale. "It's always a scale problem". Which way round are the dependencies, .. or are there other factors involved that make them 'siblings' to some 'parent'? Those other factors are not discovered by looking at the siblings. Discovery differs from invention (hypothesising). It's all about the facts, and putting them in the proper place, at the right scale. Hypothesising and theorising is the 'shotgun' approach, (just fishing them out of the air) and (certainly as far as Plate Tectonics goes) is typically contradictory doublethink, because they didn't take into account the continents - it was all ocean floor research. Sure it will work, sometimes.
    But to me it's a heck of a waste of effort, and missing the point. If you need a theory, then you don't have all the facts. You need to put effort into looking *AT* the facts, rather than pontificating theory. Not *for* them They're staring you in the face, usually (in geology at any rate). "There are none so blind.. etc.) Will not or cannot, it doesn't matter.

    Earth expansion fits the facts better, and explains a lot that plate tectonics doesn't / can't. Plate Tectonics is full of contradictions and conundrums. (And opportunities for "more research") (which is why its such a little beauty!)

    I can't think of anything geo-logical that Earth expansion doesn't explain. But here's one for you, .. if the Earth's crust formed by losing heat, how does losing more heat *de*-form it? What's your theory?

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  11. OK, so you apparently don't understand the definition of theory, hypothesis, fact/datum as they are used in science. Facts are simply observations (measurements, data, etc) and are used to inform the scientist about what is happening, but not necessarily how it does so. E.g. we can measure various things relating to gravity, we can even describe them mathematically (as a scientific 'law'), but this does not tell how gravity works. To do that we devise a hypothesis that aims to explain why things behave the way they do. If a hypothesis accurately explains all the existing data, then we can make predictions and devise experiments (not necessarily the classic lab and beaker type) to test it (falsify it). If the new data is continuously accommodated within the hypothesis, it can eventually be termed a theory, which is the best explanation for a natural phenomenon we have at a given time. Any new hypothesis that wants to supplant such a theory will have to do the leg work to show how it explains the phenomenon better (ideally falsify the original theory).

    So, no, it is not a 'shotgun' approach. And I have no idea why you invoke the term 'scale'.

    PT has stood up remarkably well to the data that has poured in over the past decades. EE on the other hand does not, and worse than that, it actually causes more problems that it supposedly solves.

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  12. You're crust question: The continental crust appears to have originally formed by differential melt of the early outer crust, separating into felsic proto-continents and leaving the mafic fraction behind. This can still be observed today. Movement of the continents is at least partly driven by exactly the heat loss at the surface, which creates a vertical heat gradient, encouraging convection in the mantle. The heat loss with age of continental crust also makes it denser and heavier, facilitating subduction either under younger basaltic crust or under the lighter continental crust. This interaction creates compressional stresses, which result in deformation, as seen in all the major mountain ranges.

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  13. There's a lot of wiggle room beteween the facts and the theory. It's not enough that the theory or hypothesis can be carried over as new data arises, it has to avoid being contradicted by other 'theories', particularly its own 'other multiple theories /hypotheses'. Plate Tectonics contradicts *itself* at every turn
    . That's not my idea of a working http://users.indigo.net.au/don/nonsense/subcrux.htmlhypothesis. That's George Orwell's 1984 Big Brother "Doublethink" /doublespeak", where truth no longer exists. How can you justify its use in science, .. our truth-teller? (Though it certainly explains the quagmire of 'explanations' Plate Tectonics has ended up in. 'Answers' is maybe a better word : "Principle of multiple answers".) (That's what's called telling lies.)

    If you had to choose one piece of data that Earth expansion does not explain, what would it be?

    And yes .. it sure does cause problems. Solving them is supposed to be what science is about, not hiding from them.

    *On the crust question*

    Leaving the mafic fraction behind as chilled crust? (Crust : so the question stands - formation v. deformation.) Mountain ranges.. I take it you mean folding. So how do you rationalise accordant summits (fact)? (what's your theory?)

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